Cross-classification by systolic and diastolic blood pressure levels and chronic kidney disease, proteinuria, or kidney function decline

Predicting and preventing new-onset chronic kidney disease (CKD) through blood pressure (BP) measurements is worthwhile. This study assessed the risk of CKD, which was defined as proteinuria and/or an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m², according to cross-classification by systolic and diastolic BP (SBP and DBP). This retrospective population-based cohort study analyzed data from 1,492,291 participants without CKD and without antihypertensive treatment in the JMDC database, which contains the annual health check-up data of Japanese aged <75 years. During a mean follow-up of 3.2 years, CKD incidence, proteinuria, and eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m² occurred in 92,587, 67,021, and 28,858 participants, respectively. When the SBP/DBP <120/<80 mmHg group was set as a reference, both high SBP and DBP were significantly associated with an elevated CKD risk. DBP tended to be more strongly associated with CKD risk than SBP; the hazard ratio of CKD was 1.44–1.80 in the group with SBP/DBP of 130–139/≥90 mmHg and 1.23–1.47 in the group with SBP/DBP of ≥140/80–89 mmHg. A similar result was observed for developing proteinuria and eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m². SBP/DBP ≥150/<80 mmHg was strongly associated with an elevated CKD risk due to the increased risk of eGFR decline. High BP, especially isolated high DBP levels, is a significant risk factor for CKD among individuals around middle age without kidney disease. Moreover, attention should be paid to kidney function, particularly eGFR decline, in the case of low DBP with extremely high SBP levels. [Figure not available: see fulltext.]